Monday, March 30, 2009

Wireless Router Cancer

gold, SDRs, monetary policy rules, Keynes and Schumpeter

The gold standard was the economic policy in the 30's undoing. The clumsy attempts , the gold backing the currency secure was probably one of the reasons for the extent of the contemporary world economic crisis. The (usually temporary) abandonment of the gold standard and devalue the currency, it was usually, which marked the end of the recession.
Something would have to be, would be the gold standard right now introduce yet again, even if some administrators of non-convertible currency, but through my mind is: the Chinese Zentrabankvorsitzende Xiaochuan wants the SDR (with his raw coverage) to the new reserve currency in the world emporhieven.
gold standard and / or international reserve currency would have supervised the central characteristic to be hardly abused for national purposes. In view of this, as has been dealt in recent years with the U.S. dollar, actually a succinct minimum requirement. Indeed would be the introduction of a gold standard for quality time, a Katastrofes now (because we could herausinflationieren us, as then, Munchausen, not from the current morass of his own hair ). But it had undertaken since about 1998, then the current crisis would hardly have caused.
The gold standard would be something of a self-limiting monetary policy rule: the money supply and credit growth would set strict limits in the boom. In the case of extraordinary events, including a systemic crisis, the coverage could be reduced. In the case of an SDR-world currency could be a coordinated devaluation of the currency.

Conclusion: the gold standard is not suitable for crisis but is excellent for prevention.

NB: Keynes wanted to make connection with the monster of the global financial crisis and wanted to establish a global reserve currency, the Bancor. Instead we have today Bretton Woods (light) is no longer, but a global financial crisis after another. I am not a Keynesian, but what the transition between two steady-states' concerns, the neoclassical (even in the modern form of Keynesianism) fails completely. In terms of economic policy is about is nothing but about ensuring that a new steady-state can be achieved. Wrong economic policies can prevent this, especially when it applies the wrong conceptual tools. General equilibrium can be achieved at best long-term (or approximated), but the world is changing daily. What it needs is to have explanations for the short to medium term interactions and displacements. In order to understand
today's economy The current models are good nothing, I am convinced that every day a little more. Therefore, perhaps Keynes is now experiencing a renaissance. Keynes provides concepts to understand the current situation. But he is not the only one: I (still) prefer the "evolutionary" economists, like the Austrian school, but with a bit less ideological coloration. Hayek and Schumpeter can greet. It's almost like in philosophy, where Plato, since no one knew anything worth mentioning attached (except perhaps the old Immanuel).

Friday, March 20, 2009

Catholic Letters Of Encouragement

are of Aboriginal and warplanes


Who says Switzerland does not need your fighters? Only, we should perhaps suppliers look elsewhere. Beyond the Memel as they sell cheap Mig-35 or Su-34. To hell with € Fighter, Rafale and (non-sale anyway) F-22.

is of course only a joke, after the (almost competitive) devaluation of the franc should our sympathy capital abroad are already posted enough. But all too easy for our demand for pilots are supposed to not have it.

Worth, we will not have to, of course, dragged through the mud any more than it earned the Indians massacred by the cavalry to be. The comparison with the Indians to take probably better than it should be dear to some Germans. What we should not prevent a to put some Selbstbewusstein the day. That's the "bank secrecy" certain states, which operate with their "citizens' tax optimization, a thorn in the side, is of course somewhere. But this is still no reason yet to go voluntarily into the position of the scapegoat. For where there is a thorn in the eye that is well known in the other eye a beam. (Interested, I would like to explain how she, not offshore, but can evade in Paris or London is quite legal tax - if I had a little less scrupulous).



Thursday, March 5, 2009

Williamrogers&son.com

Villiger, all the doomsayers

That old Federal-Villiger UBS will be put into the chairmanship surprise to like it. If the element of surprise once over, but this train seems pretty understandable. Villiger is integer, has extensive experience (less happy), is complementary to brooding (the latter under the know-how needed more urgently than the VR). In Villiger as Treasury debt growth was stopped, the debt rose only because the late 90's implicit liabilities were stated explicitly. Since then, they are (but thanks to the boom?) Decreased markedly. Villiger has also introduced the debt brake (on which the current finance minister messing around at present). This and other evidence not sure of Weak leadership. In short, Villiger, a symbol of the long period in a short period is sufficient for the contaminated world and has the expertise when it comes to financial matters and knows also the still politically relevant dossier. More astonishing than Villiger's candidacy is the cool reception by the public. Given the current public but probably not a bad sign.